Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 2871 · MSP → BDL
departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 11:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 16%
Tue 11/17 27%
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 28%
Fri 11/20 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.