Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 392 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

DL 392 · LAX → DCA

departs 7:30 AM PT · arrives 3:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 392 · LAX → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?