Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 3091 · LAX → STS
departs 7:46 PM PT · arrives 9:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 24%
Thu 11/19 28%
Fri 11/20 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at STS that day
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Arrivals into STS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.71 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.