Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 3091 · LAX → STS
departs 7:44 PM PT · arrives 9:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 24%
Thu 11/19 28%
Fri 11/20 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into STS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
STS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.