Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 3472 · SAN → FAT
departs 9:57 PM PT · arrives 11:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 61%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 30%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 17%
Thu 11/19 27%
Fri 11/20 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.