OO 4027 · AUS → IND

departs 2:03 PM CT · arrives 5:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.01 in

IND (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4027 · AUS → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?