Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4027
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 4027 · AUS → IND
departs 2:03 PM CT · arrives 5:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 28%
Fri 11/20 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.