Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1086 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

UA 1086 · DEN → YVR

departs 3:49 PM MT · arrives 7:05 PM MST

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at YVR that day

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1086 · DEN → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?