Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1145 · OAK → DEN
departs 2:38 PM PT · arrives 6:11 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 37%
Tue 11/17 35%
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 42%
Fri 11/20 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.37 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.