Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 1145 · OAK → DEN
departs 2:38 PM PT · arrives 6:11 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 22%
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 42%
Fri 11/20 42%
Sat 11/21 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.29 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.