Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1414 SCHEDULED

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

WN 1414 · ELP → DAL

departs 4:31 PM MT · arrives 7:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1414 · ELP → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?