Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 1414 · ELP → DAL
departs 4:31 PM MT · arrives 7:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 47%
Fri 11/20 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.