Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2047
SCHEDULED
Sunday, November 15 Today
WN 2047 · ABQ → LAS
departs 4:49 PM MT · arrives 5:33 PM PT
Your aircraft is N954WN (B737), coming in as WN 2047 from HOU: in the air, landing about 5:08 PM MT, 25 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/16 30%
Tue 11/17 37%
Wed 11/18 27%
Thu 11/19 52%
Fri 11/20 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
99%
chance · ±0 pts
+51 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
99%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
58%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 81%.
+51 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 82%.
+43 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 35%.
+28 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.