Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 2047 · ABQ → LAS
departs 1:49 PM MT · arrives 2:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Mon 11/16 30%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 27%
Thu 11/19 52%
Fri 11/20 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±20 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.