Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2071 · HOU → CRP
departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 5:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 28%
Thu 11/19 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±6 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Cloud base down to 733 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.62 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 733 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.76 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.