Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2071 · HOU → CRP
departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 5:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 71h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sun 11/15 60%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.38 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.