Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4355
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 4355 · AUS → SFO
departs 3:54 PM CT · arrives 5:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 86%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 52%
Thu 11/19 60%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
93%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
93%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
51%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
7%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.53 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.