Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4355
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 4355 · AUS → SFO
departs 3:54 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/15 86%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 60%
Fri 11/20 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.