Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 559 · HOU → FLL
departs 8:21 PM CT · arrives 11:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 61%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 36%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed – in 24h
–
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.62 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.