WN 678 · OAK → BUR

departs 6:25 PM PT · arrives 7:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at OAK that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.32 in

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 678 · OAK → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?