Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 678 · OAK → BUR
departs 6:26 PM PT · arrives 7:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from OAK are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.29 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.