Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 763 · SNA → PVR
departs 10:47 AM PT · arrives 3:46 PM CST
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 11/14 8%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 12%
Tue 11/17 5%
Wed 11/18 6%
Thu 11/19 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVR?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
↓
Arrivals into PVR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PVR (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.