Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 763 · SNA → PVR
departs 10:47 AM PT · arrives 3:48 PM CST
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 11/14 8%
Sun 11/15 15%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 5%
Wed 11/18 6%
Thu 11/19 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PVR?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
10am departures from SNA are usually not late
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
PVR (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.