Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 939 · BUR → SMF
departs 4:02 PM PT · arrives 5:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 30%
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 22%
Thu 11/19 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SMF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
SMF is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SMF (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.