YX 3413 · CHS → IAD

departs 7:49 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from CHS are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3413 · CHS → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?