Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1248 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

AA 1248 · MIA → CLE

departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 10:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1248 · MIA → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?