tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1285 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1285 · MBJ → MIA

departs 6:05 PM EST · arrives 7:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    24%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.