tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2863 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2863 · DFW → MSP

departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 10:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.