Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 552 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

DL 552 · RSW → MSP

departs 6:32 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from RSW are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 552 · RSW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?