Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4699
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
OO 4699 · SFO → FAT
departs 10:28 PM PT · arrives 11:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 91%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 46%
Wed 11/18 31%
Thu 11/19 34%
Fri 11/20 30%
Sat 11/21 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.46 in
FAT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.