Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1508 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16 Tomorrow

UA 1508 · BUR → SFO

departs 6:42 PM PT · arrives 8:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±21 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 53% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1508 · BUR → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?