tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8212 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 8212 · SFO → RNO

departs 4:30 PM PT · arrives 5:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±6 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RNO?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.