Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2569 · DAL → TPA
departs 12:18 PM CT · arrives 3:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 11/15 51%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 18%
Wed 11/18 20%
Thu 11/19 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.