Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3071 · MIA → BNA
departs 11:45 AM ET · arrives 1:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 13%
Wed 11/18 12%
Thu 11/19 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MIA that day
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.