Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3160
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3160 · MSY → HOU
departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 2:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 11/14 11%
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 18%
Thu 11/19 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.