Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3449
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3449 · MCI → MIA
departs 10:06 AM CT · arrives 2:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15 12%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MIA that day
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.