tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1953 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1953 · MIA → STL

departs 1:41 PM ET · arrives 3:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±7 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to STL?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.