tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1953 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1953 · STL → MIA

departs 4:57 PM CT · arrives 8:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±10 pts +17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.