tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2159 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2159 · DFW → SDF

departs 8:30 PM CT · arrives 11:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SDF?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.