Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2844SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2844 · PHX → JAX
departs 5:07 PM MT · arrives 11:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
34%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.