Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2854SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2854 · CLT → RIC
departs 1:53 PM ET · arrives 3:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.