Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2271
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
F9 2271 · MIA → ATL
departs 10:01 PM ET · arrives 12:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 73%
Mon 11/16 41%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 31%
Thu 11/19 48%
Sat 11/21 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.56 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.