Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3756
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
MQ 3756 · MIA → MTY
departs 6:08 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 11/16 16%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 28%
Fri 11/20 30%
Sat 11/21 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MTY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MTY?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at MIA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MTY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
MTY (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.