Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5590 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 17

OH 5590 · JAX → DCA

departs 2:21 PM ET · arrives 4:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5590 · JAX → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?