Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5737
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 5737 · FAT → SFO
departs 10:21 AM PT · arrives 11:25 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Mon 11/16 64%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 52%
Thu 11/19 44%
Fri 11/20 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.