Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5737
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 5737 · FAT → SFO
departs 10:21 AM PT · arrives 11:25 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Mon 11/16 64%
Tue 11/17 39%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 44%
Fri 11/20 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
96%
chance · ±12 pts
+44 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
96%
Leave 15+ late
82%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +44 pts in 24h
+44 pts
96%
Yes 96%
No 4%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +34 pts in 24h
+34 pts
82%
Yes 82%
No 18%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +35 pts in 24h
+35 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
3%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
34%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.