Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2028
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
DL 2028 · MSP → FLL
departs 8:46 AM CT · arrives 1:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Mon 11/16 6%
Tue 11/17 8%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 29%
Fri 11/20 26%
Sat 11/21 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±5 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.