Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3491
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 3491 · FAT → SAN
departs 10:34 AM PT · arrives 12:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 33%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 32%
Fri 11/20 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.