Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:28 pm at New York); 55 already left
Sunday, October 4 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 54 nonstops
Today looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 49%, against 36% on a calm day. Safest: AA 683 at 13:59, 35%.
Weather
49%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 36% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop today
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. 55 flights that already left today are not shown.
| AA 683 American Flight history → | JFK 13:59 | MIA 17:16 | 35% | 16% | 0.5% | 74% |
| DL 1419 Delta Flight history → | JFK 15:30 | FLL 18:54 | 35% | 14% | 0.6% | 75% |
| AA 2836 American | LGA 16:13 | FLL 19:29 | 37% | 14% | 0.7% | no record |
| DL 2300 Delta Flight history → | LGA 14:59 | MIA 18:30 | 37% | 14% | 0.8% | 63% |
| AA 3017 American Flight history → | LGA 15:30 | MIA 19:06 | 37% | 16% | 1.1% | 72% |
| DL 2321 Delta Flight history → | LGA 16:30 | FLL 19:56 | 39% | 15% | 0.4% | 66% |
| DL 2308 Delta Flight history → | LGA 19:29 | FLL 22:52 | 39% | 14% | 0.5% | 66% |
| B6 143 JetBlue Flight history → | EWR 13:59 | PBI 16:54 | 39% | 16% | 5.7% | 76%worse than usual |
| AA 2525 American | LGA 15:56 | MIA 19:14 | 40% | 18% | 1.1% | no record |
| UA 1498 United | EWR 15:51 | MIA 19:07 | 42% | 23% | 0.7% | no record |
| AA 2026 American Flight history → | JFK 21:00 | MIA 00:21 | 45% | 22% | 0.7% | 59% |
| B6 1201 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 15:54 | FLL 19:03 | 45% | 22% | 0.7% | 77%worse than usual |
| DL 1414 Delta Flight history → | JFK 19:58 | FLL 23:28 | 46% | 16% | 0.6% | 68%worse than usual |
| AA 3196 American Flight history → | LGA 15:55 | FLL 19:10 | 46% | 15% | 0.7% | 50% |
| DL 2382 Delta Flight history → | LGA 19:55 | MIA 23:22 | 46% | 15% | 1.2% | 59% |
| B6 685 JetBlue Flight history → | EWR 15:25 | FLL 18:27 | 47% | 17% | 0.6% | 42% |
| AA 1576 American Flight history → | LGA 19:29 | MIA 22:48 | 48% | 15% | 1.3% | 50% |
| UA 1907 United Flight history → | EWR 17:30 | FLL 20:48 | 48% | 18% | 0.6% | 82%worse than usual |
| DL 2500 Delta Flight history → | JFK 15:10 | MIA 18:53 | 48% | 20% | 0.7% | 72%worse than usual |
| B6 53 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 13:29 | PBI 16:30 | 48% | 23% | 7.0% | 73%worse than usual |
| B6 471 JetBlue Flight history → | LGA 15:40 | FLL 18:53 | 49% | 19% | 0.6% | 61% |
| AA 716 American Flight history → | LGA 18:24 | MIA 21:48 | 49% | 19% | 1.3% | 48% |
| DL 1638 Delta Flight history → | JFK 15:45 | PBI 19:04 | 49% | 16% | 5.5% | 74%worse than usual |
| UA 1897 United Flight history → | EWR 20:44 | FLL 23:59 | 50% | 14% | 0.6% | 65%worse than usual |
| B6 1171 JetBlue Flight history → | LGA 16:29 | FLL 19:43 | 50% | 22% | 0.7% | 62%worse than usual |
| AA 845 American | LGA 19:29 | MIA 22:24 | 50% | 19% | 1.4% | no record |
| DL 2460 Delta Flight history → | LGA 15:10 | PBI 18:32 | 50% | 19% | 7.5% | 65%worse than usual |
| UA 435 United | EWR 19:27 | FLL 22:19 | 51% | 18% | 0.5% | no record |
| AA 1479 American Flight history → | JFK 16:00 | MIA 19:26 | 51% | 22% | 0.6% | 68%worse than usual |
| B6 1701 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 20:00 | FLL 23:23 | 51% | 24% | 0.7% | 53% |
| DL 1428 Delta Flight history → | JFK 19:55 | MIA 23:37 | 51% | 22% | 0.8% | 70%worse than usual |
| AA 1922 American | JFK 21:27 | MIA 00:33 | 51% | 23% | 1.1% | no record |
| AA 3135 American Flight history → | LGA 16:58 | MIA 19:54 | 51% | 20% | 1.2% | 63%worse than usual |
| AA 3088 American Flight history → | LGA 18:46 | MIA 22:00 | 51% | 19% | 1.4% | 35% |
| DL 2410 Delta Flight history → | LGA 19:29 | PBI 22:46 | 51% | 20% | 7.0% | 63%worse than usual |
| UA 2096 United | EWR 17:42 | FLL 20:34 | 52% | 18% | 0.5% | no record |
| AA 1174 American Flight history → | JFK 18:50 | MIA 22:22 | 52% | 24% | 0.8% | 74%worse than usual |
| UA 1128 United Flight history → | EWR 20:08 | MIA 23:26 | 52% | 19% | 0.9% | 73%worse than usual |
| AA 3119 American Flight history → | EWR 18:30 | MIA 21:55 | 52% | 23% | 1.0% | 75%worse than usual |
| DL 1620 Delta Flight history → | LGA 17:50 | MIA 21:21 | 52% | 20% | 1.0% | 58%worse than usual |
| B6 1501 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 17:43 | FLL 21:04 | 53% | 24% | 0.8% | 64%worse than usual |
| UA 2659 United Flight history → | EWR 15:25 | PBI 18:27 | 53% | 21% | 4.4% | 75%worse than usual |
| B6 571 JetBlue Flight history → | LGA 20:50 | FLL 23:59 | 54% | 19% | 0.7% | 56% |
| AA 642 American | JFK 14:59 | MIA 17:33 | 54% | 27% | 0.6% | no record |
| AA 2228 American | JFK 16:18 | MIA 19:27 | 55% | 22% | 0.7% | no record |
| B6 371 JetBlue Flight history → | LGA 18:35 | FLL 21:31 | 55% | 23% | 0.6% | 52% |
| B6 305 JetBlue Flight history → | EWR 20:46 | FLL 23:55 | 55% | 17% | 0.7% | 71%worse than usual |
| UA 791 United | EWR 20:21 | MIA 23:14 | 55% | 22% | 1.0% | no record |
| B6 1801 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 17:42 | FLL 20:42 | 56% | 25% | 0.7% | 65%worse than usual |
| UA 2650 United Flight history → | EWR 20:19 | PBI 23:28 | 58% | 15% | 5.5% | 74%worse than usual |
| AA 3016 American | EWR 18:32 | MIA 21:26 | 60% | 24% | 1.2% | no record |
| B6 1053 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 19:00 | PBI 22:15 | 62% | 25% | 8.9% | 64%worse than usual |
| B6 1761 JetBlue Flight history → | LGA 18:00 | PBI 21:05 | 63% | 35% | 11.6% | 58%worse than usual |
| AA 2603 American Flight history → | JFK 17:45 | MIA 20:38 | 64% | 28% | 0.7% | 66%worse than usual |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 4 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON