tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: B6 865 at 06:58 is the safest bet, 12% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 22%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 865 JetBlue Flight history → BUF 06:58 FLL 10:07 12% 6% 0.5% 79%
B6 2465 JetBlue Flight history → BUF 20:37 FLL 23:36 22% 9% 0.7% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUF 08:55 → DTW 10:10DL 3639 · flown by SkyWest 2h 20m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 6h 39m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → BUF 07:00 → ORD 08:05UA 5820 · flown by SkyWest 2h 54m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 13m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → BUF 06:05 → BWI 07:20WN 756 2h 30m Baltimore BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785 6h 15m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → BUF 07:00 → JFK 08:30DL 5284 · flown by Endeavor 2h 44m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 24m 97% 83%
SouthwestDetails → BUF 16:10 → MDW 16:50WN 766 2h 45m Chicago MDW 19:35 → FLL 23:35WN 2777 7h 25m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → BUF 06:00 → ATL 08:05DL 2664 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 20m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → BUF 15:54 → DTW 17:10DL 3642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 34m Detroit DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296 7h 48m 97% 78%
AmericanDetails → BUF 06:01 → CLT 08:01AA 1204 3h 09m Charlotte CLT 11:10 → FLL 13:19AA 1484 7h 18m 97% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → BUF 13:47 → CLT 15:49AA 1616 56m Charlotte CLT 16:45 → FLL 18:51AA 1861 5h 04m 73% 48%
AmericanDetails → BUF 16:40 → DFW 19:14AA 1724 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:08 → FLL 23:58AA 1393 7h 18m 67% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON